Exclusive: Pritzker Leads Bailey by 18
UPDATED 8/31: Final figures from pollster included additional weighting for downstate sampling.
It appears Governor JB Pritzker is well on his way to re-election. In a new poll exclusive to The Illinoize, Pritzker leads conservative Republican opponent Sen. Darren Bailey (R-Xenia) by 18 points.
The statewide poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday by McHenry County-based firm Victory Geek, sampling 512 voters using both automated and live phone calls. The margin of error is ±4.3%
The poll shows Pritzker at 57%, Bailey at 37%, and 6% undecided or committed to a third party candidate.
Pritzker has a +16 favorability rating, with 55% approving of his job performance and 39% with an unfavorable opinion of him. 6% of respondents were unsure. Pritzker’s job approval has improved since a November poll from The Illinoize, showing him with a 50% to 44% favorable/unfavorable rating.
Bailey’s favorability is -23, with 26% favorable, 49% unfavorable, and 25% unsure of him. His numbers in Cook County are worse, with 66% unfavorable and 13% favorable (-53).
Pritzker leads Bailey 67%-24% in Cook County and 68%-29% in the suburbs. Bailey leads in the rest of the state 49%-43%. Pritzker leads with women by 20 points, 57% to 37%.