Davis Leads Miller But Trump Visit Could Change the Game
Congresswoman Mary Miller (R-Oakland) and Congressman Rodney Davis (R-Taylorville) are locked in a tight race in the newly drawn 15th Congressional district one week before the June 28 primary, exclusive polling shows.
In a new poll exclusive to The Illinoize, Congressman Rodney Davis (R-Taylorville) leads Congresswoman Mary Miller (R-Oakland) in the member vs. member 15th Congressional District primary by just three points. But, with one week to go before Election Day, Davis’ lead could be tenuous as former President Donald Trump has planned a trip to Illinois this weekend to stump for Miller.
513 respondents took the automated poll between Wednesday and Sunday last week, and it was conducted by McHenry-based firm Victory Geek. The Illinoize paid for the poll independently and it was not commissioned or cleared by any candidate, committee, or third party before the poll was conducted or released.
Davis leads Miller 38% to 35% with 27% of voters undecided. If forced to choose between a candidate, Davis leads Miller 51% to 49%.
This weekend’s event with former President Donald Trump endorsing Miller could be the nail in Davis’ coffin. We asked voters if they knew Trump would endorse Miller this weekend, 47% said they would support Miller and 39% would support Davis.
By the way, if you’re wondering how we broke up the district into regions, here’s a map:
A top Republican strategist not affiliated with either Davis or Miller said the poll combined with the Trump event is bad news for Davis.
“Davis' best hope is the Miller team may not be promoting the event as hard as they should,” the consultant said. “So far, that actually seems plausible. The Miller campaign seems to be expecting the event to be enough and the word to spread organically.”
It also wouldn’t be the first time people thought Davis was bound for defeat and ended up pulling it out in the end.